02 October 2010

What if TARAK NUCLEAR by 2021?






Why nuclear?! Why do we even need nuclear?! The only possible all agreed reason is for the purpose of power generation. No other fancy things like nuclear powered submarine or plane yet.


Main point here is power generation, again the question arises - WHY? In a simple all understandable language, it is to cater for the increasing demand of electricities as time goes; as industries and usage increase every year. So what, there are still other options, WHY must go nuclear?


Of course there are, initially, Sarawak's Bakun Hydro 2400MW can solve this, however problems occured in the transmission part. The initial plan of having submerged cables to transmit electricity to the Peninsular went deep submerged into the sea when the deal with Indonesian fell apart as the South China Sea belongs to Indonesia. Besides, all the potential hydro powers in Peninsular have already been exploited or in other words limited.





Other alternatives are not even worth looking at, with the inconsistent price, depleting of petroleum and natural gas, below par quality coal. It is intended that nuclear power if available, is used for the base load support of the power grid demand as once nuclear reaction starts, it will be ever going until the fuel runs out. It is like buying a good car that will last long and require minimal service. Many might argue that, we do have reserve margin to cater for the increase of demand, however do bear in mind that, the reserve margin will eventually runs out if we do not try to increase it as time passes and if we are not careful, the whole power grid will collapse when the demand exceeds the supply! Who is going to be held responsibility for that then? ;-)






Of course, a lot of people will argue that, nuclear is dangerous and not environment friendly; but the truth is that nuclear can really be considered as a green power. Allow me to share an analogy, conventional power plant that burns fuel is just like a gas stove while nuclear power plant is just like an electric cooking plate. Which one is more environmental friendly?


Renewable energy (RE) was listed in the 5 Fuel Policy previously. You might be asking, why not RE instead of NUKE? I can only say that, RE is not that widely available though we do have wind power, solar power and etc. Wind for instance, we do not have strong and continuous wind here in Malaysia; while for solar, the law of nature will not allows it to function all the time-what are we going to use when there is no sunlight at night?


Ok, enough of the reasons of why we must have nuclear, let us talk about what if there is really no nuclear by 2021. The top few "disappointers" in my list will be the Koreans, TNB and plenty of nuclear lovers like me. The Koreans of course, as the most potential builder of our NPP will lose plenty of profits, TNB meanwhile will of course lose a lot of profit too. Whereas for nuclear lovers like me, we might even wonder whether nuclear will be available in Malaysia in our lifetime. However those are not of utmost important, the most vital effect is we will face shortage of power and to overcome this, we'll need to build more conventional power plant or even bringing back Bakun into considerations. All of these are not good solutions, as we are bound to uncertainties. Rise of fuel price will affect us, so will we get affected if the relationship with Indonesian worsen. In the end, we are the one who suffer, both government and the people.





Finally, I can only say, we are in serious trouble if there is no nuclear by 2021! Unless a better energy option pops out. That's all from me. TARAK NUCLEAR TARAK 2020!!! Ps: I am not under TNB nor am I helping them out. =)

3 comments:

  1. hi,
    i went through your blog and the fact about Bakun's capability was really catchy.. so,what if somehow we managed to transmit the electricity..will nuclear still be an option then as the costs are pretty much high..
    tq..

    utrasenan a/l gunasegaran
    me083416
    utrasenan_87@yahoo.com

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  2. haha, that will be a very interesting topic to talk on. My point of view, nuclear will always still be an option as for the business point of view, its a start to alot of other possibilities. Whoever started this nuclear power, will be the pioneer of nuclear industry in Malaysia, and if they can run it with great success, they are going to make alot of money not only from the power generation but also as the "advertiser" for nuclear industry for Malaysia. Furthermore, as I mentioned in the text above, Bakun's transmissions is a "wild card". Situation tomorrow might not be the same as today. Even if they agree to take this option, we as in everyone in Malaysia who enjoy this transmission is prone to changes, making it an insecurity.

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